Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 7.475112 8.565947 9.777740 11.226699 12.916035 14.828053 17.162614
2025-02-09 6.181544 7.626097 9.366256 11.628368 14.507927 18.072994 22.855078
2025-02-16 5.129780 6.666135 8.626303 11.332227 15.004455 19.862539 26.855773
2025-02-23 4.460434 6.044559 8.162057 11.232767 15.626966 21.771979 31.163493
2025-03-02 3.950239 5.547194 7.768348 11.128819 16.164117 23.556499 35.469462
2025-03-09 3.524632 5.105624 7.382394 10.958241 16.539980 25.099596 39.571484
2025-03-16 3.153292 4.695134 6.985254 10.704496 16.728120 26.338182 43.316017
2025-03-23 3.009918 4.606507 7.052565 11.161439 18.069883 29.546506 50.761698
2025-03-30 2.814972 4.414777 6.934482 11.297342 18.885153 31.962867 57.163743
2025-04-06 2.604740 4.176274 6.714232 11.231725 19.335683 33.784847 62.724399
2025-04-13 2.409088 3.942301 6.476574 11.105146 19.652996 35.388782 68.081829
2025-04-20 2.316701 3.871991 6.505383 11.445643 20.850608 38.756877 77.433404
2025-04-27 2.209331 3.768837 6.471837 11.677142 21.886705 41.981591 87.095602
2025-05-04 2.143908 3.733196 6.553502 12.130607 23.406723 46.369166 100.018241
2025-05-11 1.977359 3.500712 6.255975 11.822957 23.360882 47.521377 105.858984
2025-05-18 1.854291 3.337706 6.072442 11.718943 23.718463 49.568213 114.121615
2025-05-25 1.742096 3.185737 5.896163 11.610042 24.049463 51.593099 122.671055
2025-06-01 1.631779 3.028535 5.696240 11.431320 24.205364 53.238114 130.547085
2025-06-08 1.521439 2.862840 5.465967 11.165485 24.134936 54.345057 137.214341
2025-06-15 1.498793 2.867983 5.577345 11.644222 25.818927 59.857506 156.752524
2025-06-22 1.443069 2.802218 5.538076 11.786625 26.730539 63.600603 172.091573
2025-06-29 1.371275 2.698234 5.410769 11.717869 27.124954 66.087837 184.276618
2025-07-06 1.299048 2.588160 5.261952 11.585239 27.346353 68.155249 195.611183